Sources: Diario Oficial de la Federación (DOF), Mexico Business News, The Loadstar, Global Banking & Finance Review, Lloyd's List
Global container spot rates surged with SCFI up 150% since February 2026, immobilizing 3.7 million TEU or 11% of the global fleet at mid-July 2026 and pushing Transpacific 40ft rates above 7000 USD to USWC and 8600 USD to USEC.
Typhoon Bavi delays North Asia capacity
Typhoon Bavi delayed 2 million TEU at North Asia ports during 11-12 July 2026, accounting for 54% of global port congestion, with Shanghai and Ningbo-Zhoushan suspending operations and requiring at least two weeks to clear the backlog, directly extending lead times on China-Mexico FCL routes.
Maersk resumes Red Sea transits
Maersk resumed Red Sea and Suez Canal transits on 13 July 2026 on service WAF6, cutting westbound transit times by 7 days and eastbound by 14 days versus Cape route.
Mexico-Japan inspections increase at Manzanillo
Mexico and Japan launched a bilateral strategy on 14 July 2026 that raises physical and documentary inspections of industrial substances and polymers at Manzanillo and AICM, extending clearance times and raising demurrage costs for chemical and manufacturing importers.
USMCA shifts to annual reviews
The United States rejected the 16-year USMCA automatic extension on 1 July 2026 and moved to annual reviews until 2036, with bilateral talks scheduled in Mexico City the week of 20 July 2026 to discuss raising regional value content from 75% to 82% and requiring 50% US-specific origin.
New protective tariffs cover 1463 lines
New protective tariffs effective since 1 January 2026 cover 1463 tariff lines in automotive, steel, aluminum, plastics, appliances and textiles at rates of 5% to 50%, with the 12-month Mexico-China trade deficit reaching 123.3 billion USD by April 2026.
Final anti-dumping duties on Chinese cardboard
Mexico imposed final anti-dumping duties on Chinese cardboard at 0.4388 USD per kilogram for Guangxi Jingui Pulp & Paper and 0.2837 USD per kilogram for Jiangsu Bohui Paper Industry per DOF resolution.
MSC launches direct Tianjin-Mexico service
MSC launched a direct Tianjin to Manzanillo/Lázaro Cárdenas/Ensenada service on 13 July 2026 with seven 5000 TEU vessels, eliminating transshipment and cutting transit times by 8-12 days with 60000 TEU annual added capacity.
Expert Analysis
SCFI up 150% since February with 3.7 million TEU congested has lifted Transpacific 40ft rates above 7000 USD, directly raising your China-Mexico FCL landed costs while Mexico-Japan port inspections launched July 14 extend clearance at Manzanillo.
Must Do This WeekAudit all cardboard shipments from Guangxi Jingui and Jiangsu Bohui suppliers before July 20 to confirm duty applicability.Final anti-dumping duties of 0.4388 and 0.2837 USD per kg took effect via DOF resolution on July 13, directly adding per-kg costs to affected FCL imports. Start This WeekBook MSC Tianjin-Manzanillo direct service for Q3 volumes by July 22.New service launched July 13 cuts transit 8-12 days versus prior routes, offsetting SCFI-driven delays from 3.7 million TEU congestion. Keep MonitoringPrepare supplier contracts and purchase orders for all China-origin FCL entries at Manzanillo.Mexico-Japan bilateral inspections starting July 14 require these documents under 2026 Ley Aduanera reform, extending clearance times.SCFI surge of 150% since February combined with 3.7 million TEU immobilized raises freight costs on China-Mexico FCL, directly inflating landed prices while new protective tariffs on 1,463 lines add 5-50% duties on automotive, plastics and steel categories. Increased physical inspections at Manzanillo from the July 14 Mexico-Japan strategy extend lead times and raise demurrage, creating a chain where higher clearance costs compound already elevated spot rates above 7000 USD per 40ft. The shift to annual USMCA reviews from July 1 introduces compliance risk for regional value content rules, potentially triggering 25% tariffs on non-conforming auto parts shipments if origin documentation fails during the July 20 bilateral talks.
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